In the 14 years Aaron Rodgers has been the Green Bay Packers’ starting quarterback, his team has been the NFC’s No. 1 seed twice. In both instances, the Packers failed to reach the Super Bowl — even with the benefit of homefield.
In 2011, Green Bay lost its first playoff game, a 37-20 setback to the New York Giants in the divisional playoffs. In 2020, the Packers lost to Tampa Bay, 31-26, in the NFC Championship Game.
The only time the Packers have reached a Super Bowl during the Rodgers-era came in 2010, when the did so as a No. 6 seed and won three road games en route to winning the NFC.
So, while Green Bay would love the postseason road to travel through Lambeau Field, by no means is it an end all.
The Packers entered Week 11 as the NFC’s No. 1 seed. After suffering a 34-31 loss to Minnesota, though, Green Bay dropped down to the No. 2 seed.
Here’s a look at the teams fighting for the No. 1 seed and their remaining schedules:
1. Arizona (9-2)
Schedule: at Chicago, vs. Los Angeles Rams, at Detroit, vs. Indianapolis, at Dallas, vs. Seattle
Opponent’s combined record: 26-34-1
Opponent’s winning percentage: .434
Analysis: The Cardinals have the easiest remaining schedule among teams fighting for the top seed in the conference. Arizona has a bye in Week 12, then is expected to get quarterback Kyler Murray back for the stretch run.
2. Green Bay (8-3)
Schedule: vs. Los Angeles Rams, vs. Chicago, at Baltimore, vs. Cleveland, vs. Minnesota, at Detroit
Opponent’s combined record: 28-32-1
Opponent’s winning percentage: .467
Analysis: Green Bay has four of their next five games at home, which should help them make a run at the conference’s top spot. A bye in Week 13 could also help a banged-up Packers team start getting healthy.
3. Dallas (7-3)
Schedule: vs. Las Vegas, at New Orleans, at Washington, at New York Giants, vs. Washington, vs. Arizona, at Philadelphia
Opponent’s combined record: 35-36
Opponent’s winning percentage: .493
Analysis: Just one of the Cowboys’ final seven games is against a team with a winning record. That could help Dallas make a run at the top spot and homefield advantage.
3. Los Angeles Rams (7-3)
Schedule: at Green Bay, vs. Jacksonville, at Arizona, vs. Seattle, at Minnesota, at Baltimore, vs. San Francisco
Opponent’s combined record: 37-35
Opponent’s winning percentage: .514
Analysis: It could be tough sledding for the Rams who travel to the top two seeds in the NFC and the current No. 2 seed in the AFC (Baltimore).
5. Tampa Bay (6-3)
Schedule: vs. New York Giants, at Indianapolis, at Atlanta, vs. Buffalo, vs. New Orleans, at Carolina, at New York Jets, vs. Carolina
Opponent’s combined record: 36-46
Opponent’s winning percentage: .439
Analysis: The defending Super Bowl champions should be able to make a run at the top spot if they can get their house in order. Only two of Tampa Bay’s final eight foes currently have winning records (Indianapolis and Buffalo).